Fitz’s Friday Forecast – Round 15

 


Saturday 16th July

Devonport vs Hobart City Demons (Devonport Oval) 2:00pm

Last Time They Met:

Hobart City Demons 14.22.106 def Devonport 7.11.53 (Round 6, 2017, at North Hobart Oval)

Devonport were unable to overcome a five goal deficit at quarter time, with Hobart City Demons’ midfielders Jayden Charlton and Ryan Matthews racking up the disposals.

Form Guide:

Devonport (WLL) – Form Temperature Gauge – MILD:

The young coastal side took down Burnie in Round 12, before a 94 point loss to Clarence knocked the wind out of their sails.  Bounced back to nearly defeat North Launceston last week, which should set them up for a big game.

Hobart City Demons (WWL) – Form Temperature Gauge – COLD:

Hobart City Demons convincingly beat the Tigers at home, before limping over the line at West Park against the last-placed Dockers.  Despite upsetting Clarence and Launceston earlier in the year, they were brought back to Earth with a thump last week after Lauderdale handed them an 89 point flogging.

Key Matchups:

The in-form  Hugh Williams is likely to get the job on dangerous Devonport playing coach Mitch Thorp, who booted 5.5 last week.  The midfield battle between Magpie co-captains Dylan Riley and Beau Sharman on Ryan Matthews, the returning Will Campbell and Eddie Cole should also be a ripper.

Fire Starters:

Beau Sharman and Dylan Riley have been in sensational form for Devonport, and their physicality and ability to win key possessions early will be crucial in igniting the Magpies.

Josh Williamson was targeted by the Lauderdale defenders last week for good reason.  When he gets going, he’s capable of kicking a bag and leading the Hobart City Demons to victory.

INS & OUTS: 

Devonport
NO CHANGES

Hobart City Demons
In: W. Hay, C. Ransom, W. Campbell
Out: K. Richter, C. Kilpatrick, H. Johnstone

Fitz’s Tip: This will be a close game if last week’s respective form is anything to go by.  With the way the Magpies stood up against quality opposition, they’re every shot here.  Devonport by 6.

 

Clarence vs Glenorchy – BINGLEY LINTON CUP (Blundstone Arena) 2:00pm 

Last Time They Met:

Clarence 14.7.91 def Glenorchy 8.7.55 (Round 6, 2017, at KGV Oval)

A seven goal to no score final term saw Clarence stun southern rivals Glenorchy at their KGV fortress, with Trent Standen booting seven for the victors in a game-breaking effort.

Form Guide:

Clarence (WWW) – Form Temperature Gauge – HOT:

The Roos have dispatched of finals sureties Lauderdale and Launceston in the past three weeks, as well as smashing an improving Devonport.  With only one loss to their name, ladder leaders Clarence are in blistering form.

Glenorchy (WWW) – Form Temperature Gauge – HOT:

Glenorchy have won their last three matchups, and while they have all been against the current bottom three sides, the Magpies’ 144 point obliteration of Burnie last week sees them in impressive nick heading into this huge clash.

Key Matchups:

The ruck battle between two in-form big men of the competition, Sam Siggins and Cameron Duffy, should be an enthralling one.  Containing Jaye Bowden is a must for the Roos, and proven run-with specialist Gabby Chambers may be given first crack at the RACT Player of the Year award leader if he is in midfield but if forward, expect returning backman Jason Bailey to play a part.

Fire Starters:

Zac Mastrocola has been in sensational form for Clarence, and the big-bodied defender/midfielder’s disposal out of the back half could set Clarence up for fast forays forward.  Dangerous small forwards Trent Standen and Ian Callinan are also capable of turning a game in short periods of time.

If Jake Cox returns that in itself may light a fire under Clarence, as well as the return of last year’s Best and Fairest winner Jack Gleeson and the competition’s form full back, Jason Bailey. All are game changers in their own right.

The aerial capabilities and versatility of Josh Watts has caused teams trouble in recent weeks, with his ability to play as a leading forward or intercepting defender making him hard to contain.  Half forward Zac Webster is only just hitting his peak form, and when given any room he can cut a defence to shreds.

INS & OUTS: 

Clarence
In: J. Bailey, J. Gleeson, J. Cox
Out: L. Murfitt-Cowen, T. Hanslow, J. Brenner

Glenorchy
In: R. Banks-Smith
Out: D. Coppleman

Fitz’s Tip: While Clarence head into the match favourites, Glenorchy have shown they still possess the skills required to completely dismantle sides, and head into this game with a deeper squad to choose from, with the return of Watts, Reynolds and Butterworth since these sides last faced off.  Expect fireworks and a shootout between these bitter rivals.  Clarence by 12.

Lauderdale vs Tigers (Lauderdale Oval) 2:00pm

Last Time They Met:

Lauderdale 12.18.90 def Tigers 9.4.58 (Round 6, 2017, at Twin Ovals)

An inaccurate Lauderdale failed to bury the Tigers under lights at Kingston, but were hardly challenged as Ray Hill booted three goals and Dylan Fyfe collected close to 40 disposals.

Form Guide:

Lauderdale (LWW) – Form Temperature Gauge – HOT:

Lauderdale come into the match hot off a big win over Hobart City Demons, having defeated Launceston and fallen just short of first placed Clarence in the fortnight previous.  At their best, Lauderdale is an exciting and unstoppable force with enviable depth in its squad.

Tigers (LLL) – Form Temperature Gauge – COLD:

The Tigers lost three straight games before last week’s bye, but showed some much-needed fight against Glenorchy in Round 13 after a very disappointing showing against the Hobart City Demons in Round 12, where they managed a miserable three goals.

Key Matchups:

Bomber tall Josh McGuinness could get the job on former St.Kilda listed key forward Daniel Archer, who dominated his first match of the season against Glenorchy. The inclusion of Hugh Dixon coupled with the return of Archer could prove a powerful one-two punch for the Tigs. Young Tiger Oliver Burrows-Cheng played a superb shutdown role on Harrison Pearce in Round 13, and may be a surprise match up on explosive midfielder/forward Thor Boscott or do we see Marcus Davies deployed in defence?

Fire Starters:

Thor Boscott is in incredible form, and as he has shown across the past fortnight, is capable of breaking open a game inside a quarter, with damaging runs forward towards goal.

Mitchell Carter is arguably the best kick out of defence in the league, but has been quiet of late compared to his impressive start to the season. If he can intercept the Bombers’ kicks forward across half back and contain a key forward in the process, he’ll be able to have a huge say on how the match pans out with his pinpoint disposal.

INS & OUTS:
Lauderdale
NO CHANGES

Tigers
In: H. Dixon, T.Cowen, L. Gadomski
Out: M. Booth, B. Graham, J. Pearce

Fitz’s Tip: Beyond Round 3, Lauderdale have been near-impossible to stop this season, and their run and class should again see them comfortably prevail, especially in front of the vocal crowd at Lauderdale Oval.  Lauderdale by 60.

Sunday 17th July

Burnie vs North Launceston (West Park) 2:00pm

Last Time They Met:

North Launceston 20.31.151 def Burnie 3.6.24 (Round 6, 2017, at UTAS Stadium)

North Launceston dismantled the young Dockers with a nine goal third term doing most of the damage to the scoreboard.  Captain Taylor Whitford dominated, as the Bombers had a dozen individual goal scorers.

Form Guide:

North Launceston (WWW) – Form Temperature Gauge – HOT:

While they haven’t smashed teams in recent weeks, the Bombers are going about their business confidently, and would be pleased that the attention has been on Clarence and Lauderdale.  The Bombers should get some younger players back this week, and get some practice moving the ball quickly to hit the scoreboard harder than the last fortnight.

Burnie (LLL) – Form Temperature Gauge – COLD:

The Dockers played arguably their worst match of the season last week, and were handed a 144 point thumping by Glenorchy.  They had a sniff in the 22 point loss to the Hobart City Demons the week prior after losing to fellow coastal youngsters Devonport in Round 12.

Key Matchups:

Docker giant Nick McKenna is likely to be given a role on one of the big Bombers in Tom Bennett or Zac Burt, in what should be an enthralling side duel. The ruck battle could also be interesting with last year’s best against potentially this year’s best. Alex Lee has taken many scalps this year but he will have his work cut out for him against last year’s premier ruck.

Fire Starters:

Bomber playing coach Tom Couch is out along with Captain Taylor Whitford and gun half back Jay Lockhart. Brad Cox-Goodyer has had a fine season and often ignites the Northern Bombers with his ability to find the footy and send long bombs sailing through the sticks.

Nick Walters is one of the Dockers’ leaders capable of influencing contests.  A big-bodied midfielder with a booming shoe, Walters loves a goal from outside the 50, and is a player Burnie can count on to give his all every week. Tom Mundy is a big in for Burnie and he is capable of influencing right across the ground.

INS & OUTS:

Burnie
In: T. Mundy, B. Challis, D. Crane
Out: C. Proctor, F. Poke, B. Rubock

North Launceston
In: T. Mansell, C. Young
Out: T. Couch, K. Wadley

Fitz’s Tip: North Launceston should win this match by close to triple digits if they choose to put the jets on.  However, the Bombers may use the match as a chance to rest sore bodies with the skipper Taylor Whitford and gun half back Jay Lockhart both unlikely they may trial players in different positions or utilise different structures, which could result in a lesser margin.  North Launceston by 85.